TACTICAL VOTING IN THE 2021 SENEDD ELECTION

NORTH WALES

REGIONAL BALLOT

ABERCONWY

PLAID CYMRU

Aberconwy is currently held by the Conservatives, but Plaid Cymru were only 755 votes away from stealing the seat.

If Labour, Green and Lib Dem voters vote for the Plaid Cymru Candidate Aaron Wynne, the seat could be stolen!

CLWYD SOUTH

LABOUR

Clwyd South is currently a Labour Seat, with the Tories coming in second place.

To keep out the Tories, progressives should vote Labour.

VALE OF CLWYD

WELSH LABOUR

Vale of Clwyd is currently a Labour Seat, with the Tories coming in second place.


To keep out the Tories, progressives should vote Labour.

ALYN & DEESIDE

WELSH LABOUR

Alyn & Deeside is currently a Labour Seat, with the Tories coming in second place.

To keep out the Tories, progressives should vote Labour.

CLWYD WEST

PLAID OR LABOUR

Clwyd West is currently held by the Conservatives.

Plaid Cymru are in second place with Labour just behind Plaid. Either party has the chance to oust the incumbent Tories, if they work together and unite behind one candidate.

WREXHAM

WELSH LABOUR

Wrexham is currently a Labour Seat, with the Tories coming in second place.

To keep out the Tories, progressives should vote Labour.

VOTE FOR PROGRESSIVE PARTIES

North Wales is up for grabs for any of the Progressive Parties, and is one of only two regions where Labour could potentially gain seats if predicted constituency losses are true.

ARFON

PLAID CYMRU

Arfon is currently a Plaid Cymru seat. Labour are in second place, but by a large margin.

DELYN

WELSH LABOUR

Delyn is currently a Labour Seat, with the Tories coming in second place.

To keep out the Tories, progressives should vote Labour.

YNYS MÔN

PLAID CYMRU

Ynys Môn is a safe Plaid Cymru seat. Labour comes in second place but with 9,510 votes between them, we recommend supporting Plaid in this constituency.

MID & WEST WALES

REGIONAL BALLOT

VOTE FOR PROGRESSIVE PARTIES

Mid and West Wales is the only region where Labour wins additional seats, so if you would normally vote for Labour on the list, it is not a wasted vote.

We cannot support Plaid Cymru on this ballot due to the selection of a well known TERF, whose empty apology does not fix the harm she continues to cause to the Trans community.

BRECON & RADNORSHIRE

LIBERAL DEMOCRATS

Brecon & Radnorshire is the sole Liberal Democrat seat, and with the incumbent candidate not up for re-election, this seat will be one to watch.

The Lib Dems have a strong lead, with the Conservatives in second place, so we recommend voting Lib Dems in this constituency.

DWYFOR MEIRIONYDD

PLAID CYRMU

Dwyfor Meirionnydd was won in 2016 by Plaid Cymru, the MS defected and became an Independent MS.

Plaid won the seat by a strong majority in 2016, so we recommend supporting them again this election.






CARMARTHEN EAST

& DINEFWR

PLAID CYMRU

Carmarthen East & Dinefwr is a safe Plaid Cymru seat, held by the party's leader, Adam Price, who holds the seat with a strong majority.







LLANELLI

WELSH LABOUR

Llanelli is currently a Labour seat, and we recommend voting Labour to ensure a progressive candidate wins.

Plaid Cymru are in close second place, however they have selected a well known TERF as their candidate, so if they were to win a degressive politician who has caused harm to the Queer community would win, therefore we cannot support Plaid in this constituency.

CARMARTHEN WEST

& SOUTH PEMBROKE

WELSH LABOUR

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire is a Conservative seat with Labour in second place.

If progressive voters put party politics aside and vote Labour the seat could be stolen.






MONTGOMERYSHIRE

LIBERAL DEMOCRATS

Montgomeryshire is currently a Conservative seat, with the Liberal Democrats in second place.

If progressive voters used their votes for the Lib Dems in this constituency, the Tories could be easily unseated.




PRESELI PEMBROKESHIRE

WELSH LABOUR

Preseli Pembrokeshire is currently a Conservative seat, however, Labour are close in second place, and if progressives used their vote for Labour, the Tories could be unseated.

CEREDIGION

PLAID CYMRU

Ceredigion is a Plaid seat, held by the current the Llywydd of the Senedd.

The Liberal Democrats are in second place, but not close enough to steal the seat, and an attempt to could hand the seat to a degressive candidate.

SOUTH WALES EAST

REGIONAL BALLOT

VOTE FOR PROGRESSIVE PARTIES

in 2016 74,424 Labour voters wasted their regional votes, and handed seats to the Tories and to UKIP.

In 2021, Labour regional votes will give seats to the anti democracy party 'Abolish the Welsh Assembly', we can stop this from happening, by not voting Labour on the South Wales East list and vote for a progressive alternative instead.

BLAENAU GWENT

LABOUR OR PLAID

Blaenau Gwent is currently held by Labour, however Plaid are in a close second and could easily steal the seat from Labour without risking the seat being handed to a degressive candidate.

NEWPORT WEST

WELSH LABOUR

Newport West is a current Labour seat, the Conservative party could easily steal this seat if progressive voters do not support Labour.


CAERPHILLY

PLAID OR LABOUR

Caerphilly is currently held by Labour, however Plaid are in a close second and could easily steal the seat from Labour without risking the seat being handed to a degressive candidate.

NEWPORT EAST

WELSH LABOUR

Newport East is currently a Labour seat, with UKIP and Conservative in second and third place, with the lack of a UKIP candidate in 2020, it's possible the seat could be stolen by the Conservative party, progressives should support Labour to stop a Tory steal.


ISLWYN

WELSH LABOUR

Islwyn is a safe Labour seat with a margin of nearly 5,000 votes.

MERTHYRD TYDFIL

& RHYMNEY

WELSH LABOUR

Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney is a safe Labour seat with a margin of nearly 5,000 votes.

MONMOUTH

WELSH LABOUR

Monmouth is currently a Conservative seat, they have a large lead over Labour, but if progressives put aside Party politics, the seat could be stolen.

TORFAEN

WELSH LABOUR

Torfaen is a safe Labour seat with around 6,000 votes between Labour and the closest progressive party, Plaid. Voting Plaid here could give the seat to the Tories.

SOUTH WALES CENTRAL

REGIONAL BALLOT

VOTE FOR PROGRESSIVE PARTIES

in 2016 78,366 Labour votes were wasted on the South Wales Central regional ballot, which allowed the Conservatives and UKIP to gain seats.

Labour voters can reduce the number of Tory seats by voting for progressive alternatives on the regional list.

CARDIFF CENTRAL

LABOUR OR LIB DEM

Cardiff Central is currently a Labour seat, but the Liberal Democrats are only 817 votes behind.

CARDIFF WEST

LABOUR OR PLAID

Cardiff West is currently a Labour seat, held by the First Minister Mark Drakeford.

Plaid Cymru are just over 1,000 votes behind, so could potentially steal this seat from Labour, and would shake up the Labour-Plaid coalition with the larger party's leader unelected.


CARDIFF NORTH

WELSH LABOUR

Cardiff North is currently a Labour seat, with the Conservatives in close second.

To stop a degressive steal, progressives should support Labour in this constituency.

CYNON VALLEY

WELSH LABOUR

Cynon Valley is a safe Labour seat, Plaid Cymru are in second place, but with a large enough margin leaving the likelihood of a steal faint.

CARDIFF SOUTH

& PENARTH

WELSH LABOUR

Cardiff South and Penarth is currently a Labour seat, with the Conservatives in second.

To stop a degressive steal, progressives should support Labour in this constituency.


PONTYPRIDD

WELSH LABOUR

Pontypridd is a safe Labour seat, Plaid Cymru are in second place, but with a large enough margin leaving the likelihood of a steal faint.

RHONDDA

PLAID CYMRU

The Rhondda is a constituency to watch in this coming election as Labour hope to steal it back from Leanne Wood, however Wood won by a large majority and we recommend supporting her in this election.

VALE OF 

GLAMORGAN

WELSH LABOUR

Vale of Glamorgan is a Labour seat in the Senedd which the Conservatives have had their eyes on for a while.

The Tories come in second place, with only around 1,000 votes between them, progressives should support Labour here to stop a degressive steal.

SOUTH WALES WEST

REGIONAL BALLOT

VOTE FOR PROGRESSIVE PARTIES

In 2016 66,903 Labour votes were wasted on the South Wales West Regional ballots, which allowed the Conservatives and UKIP to win regional seats, and in 2021 would allow the anti-democracy 'Abolish the Welsh Assembly Party' to gain seats.

GOWER

WELSH LABOUR

Gower is a Labour seat, with the Conservatives in close second, Progressives should vote Labour to stop a degressive steal.

BRIDGEND

WELSH LABOUR

Bridgend is a Labour safe seat.


SWANSEA EAST

WELSH LABOUR

Swansea East is a Labour safe seat.

ABERAVON

WELSH LABOUR

Aberavon is a Labour safe seat.


SWANSEA WEST

WELSH LABOUR

Swansea West is a Labour safe seat.


NEATH

WELSH LABOUR

Neath is a Labour safe seat.

OGMORE

WELSH LABOUR

Ogmore is a Labour safe seat.

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